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Hazardous weather outlook

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avatar Hazardous weather outlook
July 04, 2014 03:37PM
Hazardous weather outlook
National weather service san joaquin valley - hanford ca
846 am pdt fri jul 4 2014

Caz095>099-051600-
Kern county mountains-sierra nevada from yosemite to kings canyon-
Tulare county mountains-indian wells valley-
Southeastern kern county desert-
846 am pdt fri jul 4 2014

This hazardous weather outlook is for the southern sierra
Nevada...And the kern county mountains and desert.

...Isolated thunderstorms possible...

.Day one...Today and tonight

No hazardous weather expected.

.Days two through seven...Saturday through thursday

* visibility: 1 mile or less vicinity showers and thunderstorms.

* timing: sunday through wednesday. Development will begin over
The kern county deserts first...Spreading northwest towards the
Sierra nevada later on sunday.

* locations include: tehachapi...Mojave...Edwards afb...Cache
Creek...Inyokern...Highways 58 through and below tehachapi
Pass...Highway 178 through walker pass...Highway 14 to the
Junction with u.S. 395...As well as yosemite...Tuolumne
Meadows...Shaver lake...Lodgepole... Mariposa...Oakhurst...Three
Rivers...Lake isabella.

* impacts: cloud to ground lightning...Gusty winds and briefly
Heavy rain.

* stay tuned to noaa weather radio...Or your favorite news
Source...For further information.

.Spotter information statement...

Skywarn spotter activation is not anticipated.

Weather spotters are encouraged to report any significant or
Unusual conditions to the national weather service.

$$
AZ Monsoon rapidly kicks into high gear next week
July 05, 2014 10:27AM
THURSDAY JULY 3, 2014
Posted at 9:06 am by Howard

Weak troughing along the California Coast will provide for moderate zephyr winds and slightly cooler temps the next few days…Daytime highs will cool to normal (78) today Wednesday and remain through Saturday July 5th. However, the AZ monsoon will develop rapidly in that region as the continental high builds west and the upper trof currently off shore is forced north. the Global Forecast System (GFS) shows a Southeast mid and upper level flow developing. 1st over extreme southeast CA Friday, then reaching into Southern Mono County by Sunday. Thus the gates to dynamics and mid and upper level moisture will begin to increase by Late Saturday or Sunday.

Initially, TSRWs will be isolated Sunday. However, as time goes by, our air mass will become more saturated next week as the convective process builds. This will have the effect of adding moisture within the system from the top down over time. The effects of the monsoon process, IE South East Flow should not be focused so much on Moisture Advection….but rather, an increase of Dynamics as small scale features within the upper SE flow create opportunities for enhanced instability. Sure there is moisture advection, however, moisture advection at 700MB without a lifting mechanism is like gasoline without a spark.

Initially, storms will form and be focused within areas of surface convergence. Meaning they will be high based with small areal coverage. As time goes on, our air mass will juice up from that system. Eventually a combination of moisture advection and deeper moisture will arrive, and if a significant trigger (Easterly Wave or Vort Center) moves up from the South or South East; heavier rains may occur next week.

I guess you can say that with the advent of the AZ monsoon…the transition to a full on July Summer Pattern is complete.

- See more at: http://mammothweather.com/#sthash.zZEz6Ssw.dpuf



Heads up to those, myself included, who are planning a trip next week.
avatar Hazardous weather outlook
July 06, 2014 11:36AM
National weather service san joaquin valley - hanford ca
530 am pdt sun jul 6 2014

Caz095>099-071230-
Kern county mountains-sierra nevada from yosemite to kings canyon-
Tulare county mountains-indian wells valley-
Southeastern kern county desert-
530 am pdt sun jul 6 2014

This hazardous weather outlook is for the southern sierra
Nevada...And the kern county mountains and desert.

...Thunderstorms this week...

.Day one...Today and tonight

* visibility: 1 mile or less vicinity showers and thunderstorms.

* timing: developing by early afternoon through the evening hours.

* locations include: tehachapi...Mojave...Edwards
Afb...Inyokern... Highway 58 through and below tehachapi
Pass...Highway 178 through walker pass...Highway 14 to the
Junction with u.S. 395...As well as yosemite along the sierra
Crest including tuolumne meadows...Lodgepole...Lake isabella.

* impacts: cloud to ground lightning...Gusty winds and briefly
Heavy rain.

* stay tuned to noaa weather radio...Or your favorite news
Source...For further information.

.Days two through seven...Monday through saturday

* visibility: 1 mile or less vicinity showers and thunderstorms.

* timing: monday through thursday. Development will continue over
The kern county desert...Tehachapi mountains and the southern
Sierra nevada.

* locations include: tehachapi...Mojave...Edwards
Afb...Inyokern... Highway 58 through and below tehachapi
Pass...Highway 178 through walker pass...Highway 14 to the
Junction with u.S. 395...As well as yosemite along the sierra
Crest including tuolumne meadows...Lodgepole...Lake isabella.

* impacts: cloud to ground lightning...Gusty winds and briefly
Heavy rain.

* stay tuned to noaa weather radio...Or your favorite news
Source...For further information.


.Spotter information statement...

Skywarn spotter activation is not anticipated.

Weather spotters are encouraged to report any significant or
Unusual conditions to the national weather service.

$$

Bso
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