That's probably about right for Mariposa. The big rain will be focused north of Sacramento, especially in the Shasta and Oroville areas where storms 2 and 3 will hang up for awhile. Those looking for snow are going to be disappointed as the snow level is going to be high - 7000 to 8000'. Even though we are in ENSO neutral conditions, these storms are typical of El Nino years with subtropical moisture taps.
The 2011-12 rainfall total was 73% of average here in central Calaveras County, 3rd driest in the last 9 years. With the two previous years coming in at 130% and 150% of average here, it's hard to call one dry year a drought. We'll see what happened this season when May 1 comes around. I'm expecting about 3" of rain here from Wednesday through Sunday, no big deal for this area. I'm more concerned about the winds.